Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.095475 1.368628 1.670275 2.024871 2.427099 2.866152 3.378568
2025-02-09 0.621874 0.943123 1.341393 1.856683 2.491340 3.234012 4.155185
2025-02-16 0.354623 0.670729 1.114044 1.743104 2.576577 3.609804 4.953997
2025-02-23 0.213397 0.512443 0.987058 1.719479 2.751556 4.091168 5.898510
2025-03-02 0.118895 0.381391 0.859493 1.662379 2.861275 4.482840 6.740398
2025-03-09 0.078759 0.328471 0.838204 1.750686 3.170735 5.146381 7.955021
2025-03-16 0.043662 0.260197 0.768596 1.746550 3.337232 5.615751 8.924082
2025-03-23 0.029471 0.236515 0.776232 1.867271 3.694382 6.360969 10.284525
2025-03-30 0.017753 0.207239 0.762833 1.946076 3.986929 7.021105 11.543718
2025-04-06 0.008982 0.174148 0.729645 1.981432 4.207960 7.581214 12.675056
2025-04-13 0.002884 0.133191 0.660880 1.936481 4.289912 7.934301 13.519881
2025-04-20 0.000850 0.110565 0.631737 1.963593 4.489992 8.466181 14.626710
2025-04-27 0.000125 0.092144 0.608832 2.003257 4.718776 9.057423 15.846674
2025-05-04 NaN 0.065183 0.541586 1.935417 4.752811 9.349084 16.639845
2025-05-11 NaN 0.044598 0.480771 1.869349 4.781985 9.630532 17.421666
2025-05-18 NaN 0.033497 0.450949 1.871118 4.934034 10.108902 18.502784
2025-05-25 NaN 0.022163 0.405642 1.824244 4.988438 10.429094 19.351481
2025-06-01 NaN 0.020098 0.415764 1.925567 5.334049 11.231182 20.939380
2025-06-08 NaN 0.014238 0.390466 1.924976 5.477763 11.703772 22.034449
2025-06-15 NaN 0.013875 0.410538 2.055882 5.889146 12.627772 23.830488
2025-06-22 NaN 0.012038 0.414863 2.141053 6.210865 13.407989 25.416387
2025-06-29 NaN 0.009204 0.404001 2.179343 6.438053 14.033877 26.773359
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005303 0.367289 2.131694 6.484494 14.354839 27.663551